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                                                  Climate and Environmental Physics
Publications

Submitted/in preparation publications

[45] Raible, C. C., et al., 2012: Stability of 500 hPa teleconnection pattern from 1500 AD onwards, Climate of the Past, in prep.

[44] Raible, C. C., and M. Ambaum, 2012: Space and Time Scales of Teleconnection Patterns in the Northern Hemisphere, J. Atmos. Sci., in prep.

[43] Lehner, F., C. C. Raible,and T. F. Stocker, 2012: Testing the robustness of proxy-based North Atlantic Oscillation reconstructions. Quat. Sci. Rev. , submitted.

[42] Hofer, D., C. C. Raible, A. Dehnert, and J. Kuhlemann, 2012: The impact of different glacial boundary conditions on atmospheric dynamics and precipitation in the North Atlantic region, Climate of the Past, submitted.

[41] Froelicher, T. L., F. Joos, C. C. Raible, J. L. Sarmiento, 2012: Atmospheric CO2 response to volcanic eruptions: the role of ENSO, season, and variability. , submitted.

[40] Franke, J., D. Frank, C. C. Raible, J. Esper, 2012: Spectral biases in climate proxies. Nature Climate Change, submitted.

[39] Kuhlemann, J., C. C. Raible, J. Luterbacher, C. Schuster, I. Krumrei, P. Kubik, J. Reinecker, E. Rohling, H. Westphal, 2012: Spatial pattern and processes of Little Ice Age cold spells in the Mediterranean. Quat. Sci. Rev., submitted.


Reviewed publications

[38] Wilmes, S. B., C. C. Raible, T. F. Stocker, 2012: Climate variability of the mid- and highlatitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in ensemble simulations from 1500 to 2000 AD. Climate of the Past, accepted.

[37] Raible, C. C., S. Kleppek, M. Wueest, A. Kitoh, H. Murakami, T. F. Stocker and D. N. Bresch, 2012: Atlantic Hurricanes and Associated Insurance Loss Potentials in Future Climate Scenarios, Tellus A, 64, 15672, DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.15672.PDF file

[36] Pinto, J., and C. C. Raible, 2012: Past and Recent Changes in the NAO, Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change, 3, 79-90.PDF file

[35] Trouet, V., J. D., Scourse and C. C. Raible, 2012: Storminess and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Millennium: reconciling contradictory proxy records of NAO variability, Global and Planetary Change, in press.

[34] Lehner, F., C. C. Raible, D. Hofer,and T. F. Stocker, 2012: The freshwater balance of polar regions in transient simulations from 1500-2100 AD using a comprehensive coupled climate model. Climate Dyn., in press online first.

[33] Froelicher, T. L., F. Joos, C.C. Raible, et al., 2011: Sensitivity of atmospheric CO2 and climate to explosive volcanic eruptions, Biogeosciences, 8, 2317-2339.PDF file

[32] Buentgen, U., C. C. Raible, D. Frank, S. Helama, L. Cunningham, D. Hofer, R. Wilson, D. Nievergelt, A. Verstege, N. C. Stenseth and J. Esper, 2011:Causes and Consequences of Past and Projected Scandinavian Summer Temperatures, 500-2100 AD. PLOS One, 6, e25133.PDF file

[31] Gaslikova, L., A. Schwerzmann, C. C. Raible, and T. F. Stocker, 2011: Future storm surge impacts on insurable losses for the North Sea region. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11, 1205-1216.PDF file

[30] Hofer, D., C. C. Raible, and T. F. Stocker, 2011: Variation of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in control and transient simulations of the last millennium. Climate of the Past, 7, 133-150, 2011.PDF file

[29] Buehler, T., C. C. Raible, and T. F. Stocker, 2011: On the relation of extreme North Atlantic blocking frequencies, cold spells, and droughts in ERA-40 in winter, Tellus, 63, 212-222.PDF file

[28] Frank, D., J. Esper, C. C. Raible, U. Buentgen, V. Trouet, and F. Joos, 2010: Ensemble temperature reconstruction constraints on CO2 feedbacks, Nature, 463 527-530..PDF file

[27] Spangehl,T., U. Cubasch, C. C. Raible, U. Langematz, S. Schimanke, J. Koerper, and D. Hofer, 2010: Transient climate simulations from the Maunder Minimum to present day: the role of the stratosphere, J. Geophy. Res. - CAWSES special issue, 115, doi:10.1029/2009JD012358.PDF file

[26] Renold, M., C. C. Raible, T. F. Stocker and M. Yoshimori, 2010: Simulated resumption of the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Quat. Sci. Rev., 29, 101-112.PDF file

[25] Raible, C. C., H. Saaroni, B. Ziv, and M. Wild, 2010: Winter cyclonic activity over the Mediterranean Basin under future climate based on the ECHAM5 GCM, Clim. Dyn., 35, 473-488.PDF file

[24] Yoshimori, M., C. C. Raible, M. Renold,and T. F. Stocker, 2010: Simulated decadal oscillations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a cold climate state, Clim. Dyn., 34, 101-121.PDF file

[23] Fleitmann, D., H. Cheng, S. Badertscher, R. L. Edwards, M. Mudelsee, O. M. Goektuerk, A. Fankhauser, R. Pickering, C. C. Raible, A. Matter, J. Kramers, O. Tueysuez, 2009: Timing and climatic imprint of Dansgaard-Oeschger events in stalagmites from Northern Turkey, GRL, 36, L19707.PDF file

[22] Kleppek, S., V. Muccione, C. C. Raible, D. N. Bresch, P. Koellner-Heck, T. F. Stocker, 2008: Tropical cyclones in ERA-40 - a detection and tracking method, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10705, doi:10.1029/2008GL033880.PDF file

[21] Raible, C. C., P. Della-Marta, C. Schwierz, H. Wernli, and R. Blender, 2008: Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones: A comparison of detection and tracking methods and different reanalyses, Mon. Wea. Rev., 136 880-897.PDF file

[20] Casty, C., C. C. Raible, T. F. Stocker, H. Wanner, and J. Luterbacher, 2007: A European pattern climatology 1766 - 2000, Clim. Dyn., 29, 791-805, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0257-6.PDF file, electronic supplementaries: PDF file PDF file PDF file PDF file

[19] Raible, C. C., 2007: On the relation between extremes of midlatitude cyclones and the atmospheric circulation using ERA40, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L07703, DOI: 10.1029/2006GL029084.PDF file

[18] Hutterli, M., T. Crueger, H. Fischer, K. K. Andersen, C. C. Raible, T. F. Stocker, M.-L. Siggaard-Andersen, J. R. McConnell, R. C. Bales, and J. F. Burkhart 2007: The influence of regional circulation patterns on wet and dry mineral dust and sea salt deposition over Greenland, Clim. Dyn., 28, 635-647, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-006-0211-z.PDF file

[17] Raible, C. C., M. Yoshimori, T. F. Stocker, C. Casty, 2007: Extreme midlatitude cyclones and their implications to precipitation and wind speed extremes in simulations of the Maunder Minimum versus present day conditions, Clim. Dyn., 28, 409-423, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-006-0188-7. PDF file

[16] Yoshimori, M., C. C. Raible, T. F. Stocker, and M. Renold, 2006: On the interpretation of low-latitude hydrological proxy records based on Maunder Minimum AOGCM simulations, Clim. Dyn., 27,493-513. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-006-0144-6.PDF file

[15] Raible, C.C., C. Casty, J. Luterbacher, A. Pauling, J. Esper, D. C. Frank, U. Buentgens, A. C. Roesch, M. Wild, P. Tschuck, P.-L. Vidale, C. Schaer and H. Wanner, 2006: Climate Variability - Observations, Reconstructions and Model Simulations, Clim. Change, 79 , 9-29. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9061-2. PDF file

[14] Hutterli, M., C. C. Raible, and T. F. Stocker, 2005: Reconstructing circulation patterns/climate variability from Greenland ice sheet accumulation records: An ERA40 study, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23712. PDF file

[13] Luksch, U., C. C. Raible, R. Blender, and K. Fraedrich, 2005: Decadal Cyclone Track Variability in the North Atlantic, Metorol. Z., special issue, 14,747-753.PDF file

[12] Yoshimori, M., T. F. Stocker, C. C. Raible, and M. Renold, 2005: Externally-forced and internal variability in ensemble climate simulations of the Maunder Minimum, J. Climate , 18, 4253-4270.PDF file

[11] Stocker T. F., C. C. Raible, 2005: Water cycle shifts gear, Nature, 434, 830-832.PDF file

[10] Raible, C. C., T. F. Stocker, M. Yoshimori, M. Renold, U. Beyerle, C. Casty, and J. Luterbacher, 2005: Northern Hemispheric trends of pressure indices and atmospheric circulation patterns in observations, reconstructions, and coupled GCM simulations, J. Climate , 18, 3968-3982.PDF file

[9] Casty, C., D. Handorf, C. C. Raible, J. Luterbacher, A. Weisheimer, E. Xoplaki, J. F. Gonzalez-Rouco, K. Dethloff and H. Wanner, 2005: Recurrent Climate Winter Regimes in Reconstructed and Modeled 500 hPa Geopotential Height Fields over the North Atlantic/European sector 1659-1990 , Clim. Dyn., 24, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-004-0496-8. PDF filveroeff.htmle

[8] Raible, C. C., and R. Blender, 2004: Northern Hemisphere Midlatitude cyclone variability in GCM-simulations in different ocean representations, Clim. Dyn., 22,239 - 248, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-003-0380-y. link to ClimDyn PDF file

[7] Raible, C. C., U. Luksch, and K. Fraedrich, 2004: Precipitation and Northern Hemisphere Regimes , Atmos. Sci. Lett., 5, 43-55, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.12.001. link to ASL PDF file

[6] Blender, R., U. Luksch, K. Fraedrich, and C. C. Raible, 2003: Predictability study of the observed and simulated European climate using linear regression, Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 2299-2314. PDF file

[5] Fraedrich, K., C. C. Raible, and F. Sielmann, 2003: Analog ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks in the Australian region, Wea. Forecasting, 18, 3-11.PDF file

[4] Raible, C. C., U. Luksch, K. Fraedrich, and R. Voss, 2001: North Atlantic decadal regimes in a coupled GCM simulation, Clim. Dyn., 18, 321-330. PDF fileveroeff.html

[3] Raible, C. C., G. Bischof, K. Fraedrich, and E. Kirk, 2001: Comments on "Statistical single-station short-term forecasting of temperature and probability of precipitation: Area interpolation and NWP combination" - Reply, Wea. Forecasting, 16, 778-770. PDF file

[2] Sievers, O., K. Fraedrich, and C. C. Raible, 2000: Self-adapting analog ensemble predictions of tropical cyclone tracks, Wea. Forecasting, 15, 623-629. PDF file

[1] Raible, C. C., G. Bischof, K. Fraedrich, and E. Kirk, 1999: Statistical single-station short-term forecasting of temperature and probability of precipitation: Area interpolation and NWP combination, Wea. Forecasting, 14, 203-214. PDF file


Non-reviewed publications

[15] Poussin J. K., P. J. Ward, P. Bubeck, L. Gaslikova, A. Schwerzmann and C. C. Raible, 2011: Flood risk modelling, 93-122, Climate Adaptation and Flood Risk in Coastal Cities edited by J. Aerts, W. Botzen, M. J. Bowman, P. J. Ward and P. Dircke, Earthscan, Routledge, ISBN: 978-1-84971346-7.

[14] Gonzalez-Rouco, J. F., L. Fernandez-Donado, C. C. Raible, D. Barriopedro, R. Garcia-Herrera, J. Luterbacher, J. Jungclaus, D. Swingedow, J. Servonat, S. Tett, P. Brohan, E. Zorita, S. Wagner, C. Ammann, 2011: Medieval Climate Anomaly to Little Ice Age transition as simulated by current climate models, Pages Newsletter, 19 7-10.

[13] Luterbacher, J., R. Neukom, F. J. Gonzalez-Rouco, L. Fernandez-Donado, C.C. Raible, and E. Zorita, 2011: Reconstructed and Simulated Medieval Climate Anomaly in Southern South America, Pages Newsletter, 19, 20-21.

[12] Luterbacher, J., R. Garcia-Herrera, P. D. Jones, C. C. Raible, E. Xoplaki and C. S. Zerefos, 2009: Climate extremes during recent millennia and their impact on Mediterranean societies, Pages Newsletter, 17, 45-46.

[11] Spangehl, T., and C. C. Raible, 2008: Variationen der NAO auf Basis von langen Zeitreihen, Datenrekonstruktionen und Simulationen der letzten 500 Jahre, Promet, 34, 101-107. PDF file List of references: PDF file

[10] Raible, C. C., 2008: Atmospheric High-frequency and Climate Low-frequency Variability: A Perspective on Observations, Reconstructions, and Models, Habilitation thesis, 264pp.

[9] Raible, C. C., R. De Jong, T. F. Stocker, and M. Yoshimori, 2008: On the ability of GCM simulations and the interpretation of wind and moisture-sensitive proxies, Pages Newsletter, 16, 10-11.PDF file

[8] Renold, M., U. Beyerle, C. C. Raible, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker, and T. Craig, 2004: Climate modeling with a Linux cluster, EOS , 85, 290. PDF file

[7] Casty, C., Handorf, D., Raible, C.C., Gonzalez-Ruoco, J.F., Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Weisheimer, A., Dethloff, K. and H. Wanner, 2003: Comparison of recurrent climate winter regimes in reconstructed and modeled 500 hPa geopotential height fields over the North Atlantic/European sector 1659-1990. Terra Nostra, 6, 96-100.

[6] Raible, C. C., M. Yoshimori and T. F. Stocker, 2004: NCCR Projects at a glance: "Modelling and reconstruction of North Atlantic climate system variability (MONALISA)", ProClimFlash, No. 29, April 2004 - NCCR Climate.

[5] Raible, C. C., E. Kirk, and K. Fraedrich, 2001: Kurzfristprognose von Niederschlagswahrscheinlichkeit und Temperatur, Promet, 27, 80-86. PDF file

[4] Raible, C. C., 2001: Atmosphärisches Regimeverhalten im Nordatlantik, Abstact, Ph.D.-thesis, University of Hamburg, Germany, 117pp.

[3] Bischof, G, C. C. Raible, K. Fraedrich, and E. Kirk, 1998: Kürzestfristprognosen der Temperatur und der Niederschlagswahrscheinlichkeit: NWP-Kombination und Flächeninterpolation, Annalen der Meteorologie, 37, 421-422.

[2] Raible, C. C., 1997: Stochastische Kürzestfristprognosen der Temperatur: Stationsvorhersage, Flächeninterpolation und Kombination mit dem Europamodell, Diploma-thesis, University of Hamburg, Germany, 85pp.

[1] Fraedrich, K., C. C. Raible, and G. Bischof, 1997: Statistische Kürzestfristprognosen: Niederschlagswahrscheinlichkeit und Temperatur, Lecture note, University of Hamburg, Germany, 67pp.


Invited talks (conferences and seminars)

[6] April 2005: General Assembly EGU in Wienna, C. C. Raible, J. Luterbacher and H. Wanner, title: "On the stability of teleconnections in the North Atlantic for the late Holocene" (solicited).

[5] October 2003: Archieving Climate Predictability using Paleoclimate Data EURESCO Conference on North Atlantic Climate Variability, San Feliu de Guixols, Spain, title: "Northern hemispheric trends in observations and coupled GCM simulations".

[4] April 2003: EGS/AGU-EUG Joint Assembly in Nice, C. C. Raible, K. Fraedrich, and F. Sielmann, title: "Analog ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone tracks in the australian region" (solicited).

[3] August 2001: Seminar of Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Berne, Switzerland, title: "Atmosphärisches Regimeverhalten im Nordatlantik".

[2] March 2001: Seminar at the Alfred Wegener Institut, Potsdam, Germany, title: "Regimebehaviour of the climate system North Atlantic".

[1] May 2000: Seminar des the Sonderforschungsbereich 416 "Dynamik thermohaliner Zirkulationsschwankungen", Institut fuer Meereskunde at the University of Kiel, Germany, title: "Dekadische Regime im Nordatlantik".


Conference contributions, workshops, and summer schools

[20] 4. NCCR Summer School 29. August - 3. September 2004 in Grindelwald, Switzerland: Workshop leader of the Workshop "Climate modelling and time series analysis".

[19] Pit Stop - Public Conference of NCCR Climate in Bern, May 2005:
title: "Modellsimulationen natuerlichen Klimaschwankungen" by C.C. Raible, T.F. Stocker,M. Yoshimori, M. Renold

[18] General Assembly EGU in Wienna, April 2005:
(i) title: "Internal and Externally-forced Variability in the Ensemble Climate Simulations of the Maunder Minimum" by Yoshimori, M., C.C. Raible, T.F. Stocker, M. Renold
(ii) title: "Extremes in an ensemble of Maunder Minimum simulations: Cyclones, temperature, and precipitation" by Raible, C.C., M. Yoshimori, T.F. Stocker, M. Renold (solicited).
(iii) title: "Tropical responses to North Atlantic Freshwater discharge in a comprehensive coupled GCM" by Renold, M., T.F. Stocker, C.C. Raible, M. Yoshimori.
(iv) title: "LGM to Holocene Changes in the Climate Variability deduced from High-Resolution Chemistry Records of the EPICA Dronning Maud Land Ice Core" by Kaufmann, P.R., U. Ruth, M.A. Hutterli, C.C. Raible, F. Lambert, U. Federer, E. Castellano, R. Udisti.

[17] DACH September 2004, Karlsruhe, Germany:
(i) title: "Das Trendverhalten von Druckindizes und Zirkulationsmustern in Beobachtungen, Proxydaten und gekoppelten GCM Simulationen" by Raible, C.C., T.F. Stocker, M. Yoshimori, M. Renold, U. Beyerle, C. Casty und J. Luterbacher.
(ii) title: "Der Einfluss solarer Variabilität auf Zyklonenzugbahnen in gekoppelten GCM Simulationen im späten Holozän (ab 1670 AD)" by Raible, C.C., F. Joos, C. Ammann und T.F. Stocker.

[16] Bjerknes Centenary 2004, Open Science Conference on "Climate Change in High Latitudes" title: "Interannual to multi-decadal Climate Variabilities recored in Grenland Ice cores" by M. A. Hutterli, C. C. Raible and T. F. Stocker.

[15] 3. NCCR Summer School 29. August - 3. September 2004 in Monte Veritā, Ticino, Switzerland.

[14] Co-author at the 1st General Assembly EGU in Nice, April 2004:
(i) title: "Ensemble simulations of the Maunder Minimum with the NCAR coupled model" by Yoshimori, M., C.C. Raible, T.F. Stocker, M. Renold, and U. Beyerle
(ii) title: "Projected trends in monthly climate variability and extremes from large ensemble integrations with a simplified general circulation model" by Knutti, R., Stocker, T.F., Wagner, T., Raible, C.C.

[13] October 2003: Co-author at Archieving Climate Predictability using Paleoclimate Data EURESCO Conference on North Atlantic Climate Variability, San Feliu de Guixols, Spain, title: "Low-Frequency and Persistence of SST Anomaly in a coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCM" by Yoshimori, M.; Raible, C. C.; Renold, M.; Stocker, T. F.

[12] 2. NCCR Summer School 30. August - 6. September 2003 in Grindelwald.

[11] Seventh Annual CCSM Workshop Breckenridge, Colorado, 24 to 26 June 2003.

[10] Co-author at EGS/AGU-EUG Joint Assembly in Nice, April 2003:
(i) title: "Northern Hemisphere climate variability in a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM control simulation" by Yoshimori, M.; Raible, C. C.; Renold, M.; Stocker, T. F.
(ii) title: "Comparison or recurrent climate regimes in reconstructed and modelled 500 hPa fields over the North Atlantic-European region 1659-1999" by Casty, C.; Handorf, D.; Luterbacher, J.; Xoplaki, E.; Weisheimer, A. ; Raible, C.C.; Gonzalez-Rouco, J.F.; Dethloff, K.; Wanner, H.

[9] SPS-meeting 2003, Basel. title: "Mid-latitude cyclonic variability in GCM-simulations with different ocean representations" by Raible, C. C., and R. Blender.

[8] 1. NCCR Summer School 7-14 September 2002 in Grindelwald.

[7] Seventh Annual CCSM Workshop Breckenridge, Colorado, 25 to 27 June 2002.

[6] Young scientists meeting of the NCCR Climate 20 - 21 June 2002 in Gwatt.

[5] Raible, C. C., U. Luksch, K. Fraedrich, and R. Voss, 2001: North Atlantic decadal regimes in a coupled GCM simulation, Geophy. Res. Abstracts, 26th General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, 3, 126.

[4] Raible, C. C., and U. Luksch, 1999: The role of atmospheric energetics for decadal variability in the North Atlantic, 4th Int. Conf. on Modelling of Global Climate Change and Variability, Hamburg, Germany, 174.

[3] 2. GKSS School of Environmental Research: Models in Environmental Research of GKSS-Research Center in Lauenburg 1998.

[2] Deutsche Meteorologen Tagung 1998, Leipzig, Germany:
Title: "Kürzestfristprognosen der Temperatur und der Niederschlagswahrscheinlichkeit: NWP-Kombination und Flächeninterpolation" by Bischof, G, C. C. Raible, K. Fraedrich, and E. Kirk.

[1] 1. GKSS School of Environmental Research: Anthropogenic Climate Change of GKSS-Research Center in Lauenburg, 1997.